On Wednesday, the Wall Street Journal reported that the President and his Democratic allies in Congress intend to force small business with payrolls more than $250,000 per year to provide health insurance to their employees. Failure to do so would be punishable by a fine up to 8 percent of payroll. The article also noted that there are approximately one million businesses with between five and nine employees and average payrolls comfortably in the Democrats' target range and that only about half of those provide health insurance.
Those are the raw numbers and they are bad enough. However, to drive home the real cost to real people, I decided to do some quick "back of the envelope" calculations to see just what kinds of businesses might have to start firing people if the President's health care scheme becomes law.
Consider Company A, which employs seven people: a manager, an assistant manager, and five workers. The owner pays himself a salary of $70,000 per year (about $35/hour), the manager $52,000 ($25/hour), the assistant manager $35,000 ($20/hour), and the five employees $21,000 (about $10/hour). That makes a payroll of $262,000. Now, the article doesn't say how much the fine for a payroll that size would be, so I'll assume either 6 percent ($15,720) or 4 percent ($10,480). The lowest total, as you can see, is more than half the salary of one of the worker bees and the higher figure is even worse. If I were running that business, I'd say the easiest way to solve my problem would be to fire one of the worker bees. That would reduce my payroll to escape the fine and it would leave me with more money as well. Sure, my business would be less productive, but it's not terribly difficult to get make up for that one lost employee by having my other six work a little bit harder.
So what kind of businesses might fit Company A's profile? How about a small restaurant or a neighborhood grocery store? Many franchised convenience stores could meet that description, as could any number of local insurance companies, construction companies, and contractors.
Let's up the ante a little bit. Company B consists of an owner, who also doubles as general manager (and pays herself a rather modest $80,000 per year), and ten part-time employees who each make $35,000, for a payroll of $430,000. That's large enough to trigger the full 8 percent penalty, which comes to $34,400. Well, that's just about one employee's salary, so out he goes, which not only covers the fine but also brings Company B under the $400,000 threshold, which means a potential smaller fine next year. Bonus!
Company B could easily be a car dealership, a local insurance office, a mid-sized construction company or contractor, or a retail store where the salespeople work at least partly on commission. This could be the final straw that convinces the owner to say "To hell with it."
This isn't just a thought exercise, though. There's an action component as well. Look at the businesses you patronize regularly or even just the ones you drive past on the way to work. Look at your own employer, or the businesses where your friends and family work. How many of them will face the choice of firing someone to pay for the Obamacare fine or to limbo their payroll under the Democrats' bar? Will that perpetually-cheerful cashier at the local convenience sore still be there this time next year if Obamacare passes? How about that electrician with the young wife and baby who always does great work and let you slide on a service call that one time? Shouldn't they know what could be coming their way?
Now that you have this information, you can help educate them. Write a letter to the editor of your local newspaper (and toss in the possibility that the newly-fired will have to find insurance somewhere or face a fine themselves). Strike up a conversation while the plumber replaces that leaky pipe. Bring up the matter the next time your local Chamber of Commerce or Optimist Club has a meeting. Tell your friends and family and invite them to come right here and read for themselves.
The President's health care plan is expensive and it's going to cost us more than mere money. It's time we said "no more". Putting a real face on the casualties Obamacare will cause could go a long way toward stopping it before it happens.
(WSJ link via memeorandum)