AMERICAN ISSUES PROJECT

Fact Check: How To Lie With Education Statistics

When Barack Obama chose as his Education secretary the man who had led the school system in his hometown of Chicago, he boasted about Arne Duncan's record in the job.

"In just seven years, he's boosted elementary test scores here in Chicago from 38 percent of students meeting the standards to 67 percent," Obama said. "The dropout rate has gone down every year he's been in charge. And on the ACT, the gains of Chicago students have been twice as big as those for students in the rest of the state."

But the Civic Committee of the Commercial Club of Chicago, a Duncan ally, recently issued a report that exposed Obama's brag as nothing more than an uneducated guess about the quality of Chicago schools. The report, titled "Still Left Behind," includes harsh critiques such as "the performance of Chicago's high schools is abysmal" and most eight-graders "have little chance to succeed in high school or to be ready for college."

A Sunday USA Today story fact-checked Obama's claims about Duncan and found them lacking. Here's a recap of what Obama said about Chicago's schools compared with reality:

  • Boast No. 1: A whopping 29 percent more students in elementary school are meeting testing standards. Reality: Pass rates increased only 8 percent.
  • Boast No. 2: Dropout rates declined every year while Duncan was in charge. Reality: The rate has declined, but "most of Chicago's students drop out or fail."
  • Boast No. 3: Gains in ACT test scores to enter college were twice as large in Chicago as elsewhere in the state. Reality: The scores were so bad that they had nowhere to go but up. Chicago's composite score of 17.4 was still lower than the statewide average of 20.5.

Duncan clearly is not the educational hero that Obama advertised. Instead, Obama, Duncan and Chicago Mayor Richard Daly are guilty of "using statistics that do not reflect the changes in testing and scoring and treating them as a consistent series of data."

They definitely don't need an education in "How To Lie With Statistics."


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